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Tuesday, 12 February 2013

The Messy Job of Finding the Ontario Swing Voter


Today we're going to look for the Ontario swing voter.

20111110-OC-AMW-0239
On Election night, when we're standing there in front of the TVs, red-faced, waiting for the vote totals to trickle in from some uncalled riding, who's fault is it? Whose hesitation between parties is keeping us from getting some sleep that night?

Building on our prior experience with correlations, we decided to look for the census data that corresponded the closest with small electoral margins.

Small margins = swing voters, according to our thinking. Opportunities for growth for the parties.

The result of our search was rather surprising.

Actually, we'll spare you, because the table is 300+ lines long. You'll find it at the bottom.

A Fantastic Voyage

We are really going to abuse some numbers today.  My dusty old social research book should get here soon. In the meantime, let's just go with the numerical flow.

We came up with a long list of numbers and data (the stuff at the very end of this article), saw what looked good correlations-wise, and thought "Hmmm."

It looks like the high school-educated and retail workers have the lowest correlation to high vote margins.

Or, if you look at it the other way, the high school-educated and retail workers should have some of the highest correlations to low vote margins!

Add to that a smattering of young people demographics, and again we were intrigued.

It reminded us of the articles on shifts in support we did earlier. A lot of these constituencies looked like the NDP voters we saw from last time.

Correlation Mash-Up

In a whim, we multiplied these correlation coefficients with the ones found in the census data correlations we made public in our data file.

What we got was another table full of "correl-isions" — made up of correlations to swing voters (or our proxy of it anyway), times correlations to party support in 2011, as a percentage of votes.

To us, it seemed like this might stand in for a good measure of how "attainable" these swing voters are for the various parties.

Here's the result we got for the Ontario NDP, or at least the top 20 lines of a 330-row file:

Demographic
(with Ontario-wide figure in parentheses)
Correlation to Percent Margin in 2011 (% of votes)Correlation to NDP, as percent of Votes, 2011NDP "Correlision"
1. Total population 15 years and over by labour force activity (20% sample data) -.1840.587-0.108
2. Males Median age of the population (38.1)0.255-0.404-0.103
3. Lived at the same address 1 year ago (86.6%)-0.2440.375-0.092
4. Immigrant Before 1991 (15.7%)-.1970.385-0.076
5. Other dwellings - as a % of total occupied private dwellings (0.5%) 0.25-0.295-0.074
6. Average household size (2.6)-.1820.406-0.074
7. North American Indian single response (1.3%).169-0.394-0.067
8. Males % of the population aged 15 and over (80.90%).131-0.509-0.067
9. Education 15 to 24: No certificate, diploma or degree (5.3%)-0.220.301-0.066
10. Employed, 15 and over, transport: Car, truck, van, as passenger (8.3%)-0.2610.251-0.066
11. Education 15 to 24: High school certificate or equivalent (5.2%)-0.3370.193-0.065
12. Population 15 years and over reporting hours of unpaid care or assistance to seniors (20.5%)-.1780.359-0.064
13. Dwellings requiring major repair - as a % of total occupied private dwellings (6.6%)0.235-0.272-0.064
14. Males 20 to 24 years (3.3% of pop)-0.2760.231-0.064
15. Other money - As a % of total income (12.9% avg)0.234-0.265-0.062
16. Legal status: Never legally married (single) (31.6%) -.1300.459-0.060
17. Canadian citizens age 18 and over (71.2%)-.1880.309-0.058
18. Females 19 years (0.7% of pop)-0.2630.209-0.055
19. Legal status: Separated, but still legally married (3.5%)-.1000.541-0.054
20. Education 15 and over: University certificate or diploma below bachelor level (4.1%)-.1190.452-0.054

What Does This Mean

The first line, the description of which ends with a "20% data", doesn't mean anything, really. It's the result of a subtotal used in the census data. So we can cross that out.

Looking at the +/- sign of the two ingredients to our "correlision" is important because some of these don't make sense otherwise: The second line suggests that older men, a (+) high-margin demographic (that is, one correlated with high margins in a riding) combined with a (-) statistical aversion for the NDP equals one of the NDP's prime pickup opportunities.

Unfortunately for the Dippers, we've seen elsewhere that older men tend to be conservative, as do those deriving a high portion of their income from "other" sources (e.g. investments). So we've gone and reddened the wrongly-signed rows to avoid wasting our time with them.

What's left? In order, the up-for-grabs demographics for the NDP:
  • Lived at the same address 1 year ago
  • Immigrant Before 1991
  • [Larger] Households
  • People aged 15 to 24 with no diploma or degree (these people are now 20-29 and might possibly have degrees now OR this might be related to the parents in the ridings back home)
  • Employed people who ride to work in a car as a passenger
  • People 15 to 24 in 2006, who have a High school or equivalent diploma (same disclaimer applies)
  • People reporting hours of unpaid care for seniors
  • Males 20 to 24 years (now 25 to 29, like your humble narrator)
  • Unmarried persons
  • Canadian citizens (that is, not ridings with high immigrant populations)
  • 23 year old women
  • Separated couples
  • Those with university diplomas below bachelor level.


Shopping at Targets

Some of these groups make for better strategic opportunities than others.

For example: Canadian citizens (yes, only citizens can vote, but we've been looking at the riding level, not the individual level). It's hard to think up a policy initiative that specifically prompts left-leaning people in low-immigration communities to vote for you. This isn't Québec, after all.

How many people in Ontario are separated couples? In another Excel spreadsheet we've prepared, the population percentages are given for all these census categories in Ontario. We've added those figures to the side of the table, in parentheses.

From the size of these demographics, we can see that some of them don't make sense to target without some especially brilliant micro-targeting of the kind used in the US.

For example: "Females 19 years old" (now more like 24) seem like a hard group to capture. "Are you 24 years old and female? Vote for me!"

Driving Range

At the same time, our diagnosis of the NDP's commuter strategy seems reaffirmed: passengers of cars are one of the top demographics on the NDP "correlision" list, and at 8.3% of the population, carpoolers represent a relatively sizeable chunk of Ontario's voters.

Commuting drivers, another 71% of the Ontario population, are not far behind on the full NDP "correlision" list, at #29 (not shown)

During a recent snowstorm, Andrea Horwath even tweeted a word of warning for commuters:


On the ONDP website, some of this concern shows up in the micro-policies proffered there: 15% cut to auto insurance rates (we just went over car users). 5 day home care guarantee for seniors (Care for seniors is #12 on the list). On-the-job training for youth (young people are, as usual, well represented in our latest calculations for the NDP).

What about the other main Ontario parties?

Ontario Liberal Party


"Correlision"Correlation to Percent Margin in 2011 (% of votes)Correlation to OLP, as percent of Votes, 2011L Correlision
Education 25 to 34: College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma (76)-0.2320.621-0.144
Education 15 to 24: Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma-0.230.594-0.137
Education 15 and over: High school certificate or equivalent (67)-0.2060.612-0.126
Total population by knowledge of official languages (20% sample data) (47)-0.20.602-0.120
Persons 15 years and over with earnings (counts) (20% sample data) (110)-0.270.442-0.119
Employed, 15 and over, transport: Car, truck, van, as driver-.1890.610-0.116
Education 15 to 24: College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma (72)-0.2040.553-0.113
Immigrant: 2nd generation (58)-.1670.630-0.105
Total population by mother tongue (20% sample data) (45)-0.20.506-0.101
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Wholesale trade-0.2110.478-0.101
Total employed labour force 15 years and over by place of work (20% sample data) (101)-0.2680.351-0.094
Aboriginal responses not included elsewhere (65)0.25-0.369-0.092
Pop 15 and over: Unemployed (88)-.1800.508-0.092
17 years-0.1990.457-0.091
Population 15 years and over reporting hours looking after children without pay (98)-0.250.357-0.089
Total population 1 year and over by mobility status 1 year ago (20% sample data) (60)-0.2640.327-0.086
Education 35 to 64: High school certificate or equivalent (79)-.1480.583-0.086
Knowledge of: English only-.1490.573-0.086
Median monthly payments for owner-occupied dwellings ($) (44)-.1520.554-0.084
Canadian citizens age 18 and over-.1880.436-0.082
Immigrant Before 1991-.1970.412-0.081
Knowledge of: Neither English nor French-.1460.553-0.081
Total pop, Location of study: No postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree-0.2190.369-0.081
Number of male lone-parent families-0.2490.312-0.078
Households containing a couple (married or common-law) with children (32)-0.210.369-0.077

Citizenship@MaRSThe data for the Ontario Liberal party was noisier, but also interesting. Some of the same or similar groups to the NDP are listed here, which makes sense, as they would be the voters up for grabs.

We find here a curious mix of well-educated 30-somethings, and people with high mortgage payments, combined with less prestigious groups: the unemployed (in 2006), high school dropouts, recent immigrants, no official language knowledge, single dads.

Some of these present some obvious opportunities, although I admit to being ignorant as to the electoral politics of the wholesale trade.

Ontario PC Party

"Correlision"Correlation to Percent Margin in 2011 (% of votes)Correlation to PCs, as percent of Votes, 2011PC Correlision
Not in a common-law relationship-0.2520.555-0.140
Education 25 to 34: High school certificate or equivalent (75)-0.2160.595-0.129
Education 15 to 24: Total population aged 15 to 24 (70)-0.3330.377-0.126
Total employed labour force 15 years and over with a usual place of work or no fixed workplace address by mode of transportation (20% sample data) (102)-0.2790.446-0.124
Total population by immigrant status (20% sample data) (49)-0.20.583-0.117
Total population 5 years and over by mobility status 5 years ago (20% sample data) (61)-0.2620.436-0.114
Females Median age of the population0.209-0.499-0.104
Males 19 years-0.2520.401-0.101
15 to 19 years-0.2120.468-0.099
Males 15 to 19 years-0.2090.474-0.099
Other household types (34)-.1820.536-0.097
Total population by citizenship (20% sample data) (54)-0.2630.367-0.097
Total population 15 years and over by common-law status (100% data) (4)-0.2470.377-0.093
Mother Tongue Other language(s) (46)-.1520.574-0.087
Females 18 years-0.2340.366-0.086
Total experienced labour force 15 years and over by occupational categories (20% sample data) (93)-0.2160.395-0.085
Canadian citizens under age 18-0.2010.422-0.085
20 to 24 years-0.2750.307-0.084
Labour 15 and over: G Sales and service occupations-0.2440.337-0.082
19 years-0.2610.314-0.082
Total population 15 years and over who worked since 2005 (20% sample data) (100)-0.2070.376-0.078
Total population aged 25 to 34 (74)-.1870.410-0.077
Total pop: Visible minority, n.i.e. (107)-.1470.522-0.077
Pop 15 and over, worked in: English and non-official language-.1760.411-0.072
Females 5 to 9 years-.1880.383-0.072
10 to 14 years-.1780.399-0.071
15 years-.1740.406-0.071
Semi-detached houses - as a % of total occupied private dwellings-.1760.399-0.070
Females % of the population aged 15 and overy.115-0.603-0.070
Immigrant 1991 to 2000-.1350.510-0.069


30 July 2011
Home sweet common wall
The PCs show some interesting corollaries to the Liberal "correlisions": high school-educated thirtysomethings, people in their 30s generally, People who are not shacking up. Young men (or perhaps their parents?).

Interesting: Why are more recent immigrants apparently more Conservative than pre-1991 immigrants?

People in semi-detached houses, and those who worked in English and a non-official language are interesting categories for the PCs to target.

But what could the electoral strategy for those groups be?

Appendix

Meanwhile, for the data-obsessed, here are the correlations we calculated for margins of victory, mentioned at the beginning of this article.

Negative numbers may suggest a "swingy" demographic. Positive numbers suggest a dyed-in-the-wool voter of some sort.


Table 1 - Census category Pearson correlations to high margin Ontario 2011 victories 

Demographic Pearson Correlation to 2011 Percent Margin in ridings (as a % of valid votes)
0 to 4 years-0.205
5 to 9 years-.190
10 to 14 years-.178
15 to 19 years-0.212
15 years-.174
16 years-.183
17 years-0.199
18 years-0.228
19 years-0.261
20 to 24 years-0.275
25 to 29 years-.188
30 to 34 years-.171
35 to 39 years-.162
40 to 44 years-.151
45 to 49 years-.153
50 to 54 years-.124
55 to 59 years-.048
60 to 64 years.054
65 to 69 years.086
70 to 74 years.068
75 to 79 years.022
80 to 84 years.007
85 years and over.044
Median age of the population (3)0.228
% of the population aged 15 and over.126
Male, total-.186
Males 0 to 4 years-0.21
Males 5 to 9 years-.190
Males 10 to 14 years-.165
Males 15 to 19 years-0.209
Males 15 years-.181
Males 16 years-.176
Males 17 years-0.203
Males 18 years-0.222
Males 19 years-0.252
Males 20 to 24 years-0.276
Males 25 to 29 years-0.191
Males 30 to 34 years-.168
Males 35 to 39 years-.144
Males 40 to 44 years-.128
Males 45 to 49 years-.137
Males 50 to 54 years-.110
Males 55 to 59 years-.033
Males 60 to 64 years.065
Males 65 to 69 years.115
Males 70 to 74 years.084
Males 75 to 79 years.039
Males 80 to 84 years.033
Males 85 years and over.036
Males Median age of the population0.255
Males % of the population aged 15 and over.131
Female, total-0.204
Females 0 to 4 years-0.199
Females 5 to 9 years-.188
Females 10 to 14 years-0.19
Females 15 to 19 years-0.215
Females 15 years-.164
Females 16 years-.189
Females 17 years-0.193
Females 18 years-0.234
Females 19 years-0.263
Females 20 to 24 years-0.271
Females 25 to 29 years-.183
Females 30 to 34 years-.172
Females 35 to 39 years-.175
Females 40 to 44 years-.168
Females 45 to 49 years-.164
Females 50 to 54 years-.134
Females 55 to 59 years-.062
Females 60 to 64 years.040
Females 65 to 69 years.053
Females 70 to 74 years.052
Females 75 to 79 years.008
Females 80 to 84 years-.009
Females 85 years and over.046
Females Median age of the population0.209
Females % of the population aged 15 and over.115
Not in a common-law relationship-0.252
In a common-law relationship.066
Total population 15 years and over by legal marital status (100% data) (5)-.178
Legal status: Never legally married (single) (6)-.130
Legal status: Legally married (and not separated) (7)-.152
Legal status: Separated, but still legally married (8)-.100
Legal status: Divorced (9).027
Legal status: Widowed (10)-.005
Total private dwellings occupied by usual residents (20% sample data) (11)-.052
Single-detached houses - as a % of total occupied private dwellings.050
Semi-detached houses - as a % of total occupied private dwellings-.176
Row houses - as a % of total occupied private dwellings-0.202
Apartments, duplex - as a % of total occupied private dwellings (12)-.024
Apartments in buildings with fewer than five storeys - as a % of total occupied private dwellings (13)-.032
Apartments in buildings with five or more storeys - as a % of total occupied private dwellings.062
Other dwellings - as a % of total occupied private dwellings (14)0.25
Number of owned dwellings (15)-.128
Number of rented dwellings (16).070
Number of dwellings constructed before 1986.114
Number of dwellings constructed between 1986 and 2006 (17)-.155
Dwellings requiring major repair - as a % of total occupied private dwellings0.235
Average number of rooms per dwelling (18)-.113
Dwellings with more than one person per room - as a % of total occupied private dwellings (19)-.013
Average value of owned dwelling ($) (20).018
Total number of census families (20% sample data) (21)-.165
Number of married-couple families (22)-.149
Number of common-law-couple families (23).059
Number of lone-parent families-0.22
Number of female lone-parent families-0.205
Number of male lone-parent families-0.249
Average number of persons in all census families-.181
Average number of persons in married-couple families (24)-.198
Average number of persons in common-law-couple families (25)-.086
Average number of persons in lone-parent families-.070
Average number of persons in female lone-parent families.024
Average number of persons in male lone-parent families-.050
Median income in 2005 - All census families ($) (26)-.078
Median income in 2005 - Married-couple families ($) (27)-.063
Median income in 2005 - Common-law-couple families ($) (28)-.079
Median income in 2005 - Lone-parent families ($)-.155
Median income in 2005 - Female lone-parent families ($)-.158
Median income in 2005 - Male lone-parent families ($)-.152
Median after-tax income in 2005 - All census families ($) (29)-.103
Median after-tax income in 2005 - Married-couple families ($) (30)-.072
Median after-tax income in 2005 - Common-law-couple families ($)-.075
Median after-tax income in 2005 - Lone-parent families ($)-.157
Median after-tax income in 2005 - Female lone-parent families ($)-.163
Median after-tax income in 2005 - Male lone-parent families ($)-.129
Total private households (20% sample data) (31)-.037
Households containing a couple (married or common-law) with children (32)-0.21
Households containing a couple (married or common-law) without children (33).071
One-person households.135
Other household types (34)-.182
Median income in 2005 - All private households ($) (35)-.143
Median income in 2005 - Couple households with children ($) (36)-.088
Median income in 2005 - Couple households without children ($) (37)-.053
Median income in 2005 - One-person households ($)-.115
Median income in 2005 - Other household types ($) (38)-.133
Median after-tax income in 2005 - All private households ($) (39)-.146
Median after-tax income in 2005 - Couple households with children ($) (40)-.087
Median after-tax income in 2005 - Couple households without children ($) (41)-.061
Median after-tax income in 2005 - One-person households ($)-.118
Median after-tax income in 2005 - Other household types ($) (42)-.134
Median monthly payments for rented dwellings ($) (43)-.138
Median monthly payments for owner-occupied dwellings ($) (44)-.152
Average household size-.182
Total population by mother tongue (20% sample data) (45)-0.2
Mother Tongue English only-.003
Mother Tongue French only.001
Mother Tongue English and French.043
Mother Tongue Other language(s) (46)-.152
Total population by knowledge of official languages (20% sample data) (47)-0.2
Knowledge of: English only-.149
Knowledge of: French only-.066
Knowledge of: English and French.029
Knowledge of: Neither English nor French-.146
Total population by home language (20% sample data) (48)-0.2
Home language: English-.043
Home language: French-.044
Home language: Non-official language-.140
Home language: English and French.059
Home language: English and non-official language-.158
Home language: French and non-official language-.050
Home language: English, French and non-official language-.087
Total population by immigrant status (20% sample data) (49)-0.2
Non-immigrants (50)-.004
Immigrants (51)-.152
Immigrant Before 1991-.197
Immigrant 1991 to 2000-.135
Immigrant 2001 to 2006 (52)-.079
Non-permanent residents (53)-.067
Canadian citizens-0.217
Canadian citizens under age 18-0.201
Canadian citizens age 18 and over-.188
Not Canadian citizens (55)-.112
Immigrant: 1st generation (57)-.153
Immigrant: 2nd generation (58)-.167
Immigrant: 3rd generation or more (59).083
Lived at the same address 1 year ago-0.244
Lived within the same province or territory 1 year ago, but changed addresses within the same census subdivision (municipality)-.104
Lived within the same province or territory 1 year ago, but changed addresses from another census subdivision (municipality) within the same province or territory-.096
Lived in a different province or territory 1 year ago.112
Lived in a different country 1 year ago-.079
Lived at the same address 5 years ago-.139
Lived within the same province or territory 5 years ago, but changed addresses within the same census subdivision (municipality)-.175
Lived within the same province or territory 5 years ago, but changed addresses from another census subdivision (municipality) within the same province or territory-.092
Lived in a different province or territory 5 years ago.089
Lived in a different country 5 years ago-.072
Total Aboriginal identity population (63).050
North American Indian single response (64).169
Métis single response0.211
Inuit single response.123
Multiple Aboriginal identity responses.185
Aboriginal responses not included elsewhere (65)0.25
Non-Aboriginal identity population-0.192
Total population 15 years and over by educational attainment (20% sample data) (66)-.184
Education 15 and over: No certificate, diploma or degree-.103
Education 15 and over: High school certificate or equivalent (67)-0.206
Education 15 and over: Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma.026
Education 15 and over: College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma (68)-.098
Education 15 and over: University certificate or diploma below bachelor level (69)-.119
Education 15 and over: University certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor's level or above-.052
Education 15 to 24: No certificate, diploma or degree-0.22
Education 15 to 24: High school certificate or equivalent (71)-0.337
Education 15 to 24: Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma-0.23
Education 15 to 24: College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma (72)-0.204
Education 15 to 24: University certificate or diploma below bachelor level (73)-.125
Education 15 to 24: University certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor's level or above-.086
Total population aged 25 to 34 (74)-.187
Education 25 to 34: No certificate, diploma or degree-.133
Education 25 to 34: High school certificate or equivalent (75)-0.216
Education 25 to 34: Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma-.112
Education 25 to 34: College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma (76)-0.232
Education 25 to 34: University certificate or diploma below bachelor level (77)-.141
Education 25 to 34: University certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor's level or above-.063
Total population aged 35 to 64 (78)-.183
Education 35 to 64: No certificate, diploma or degree-.080
Education 35 to 64: High school certificate or equivalent (79)-.148
Education 35 to 64: Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma.027
Education 35 to 64: College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma (80)-.066
Education 35 to 64: University certificate or diploma below bachelor level (81)-.128
Education 35 to 64: University certificate, diploma or degree at bachelor's level or above-.047
Total Pop: No postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree-0.219
Total Pop, field of study: Education-.060
Total Pop, field of study: Visual and performing arts, and communications technologies-.059
Total Pop, field of study: Humanities-.015
Total Pop, field of study: Social and behavioural sciences and law-.010
Total Pop, field of study: Business, management and public administration-.128
Total Pop, field of study: Physical and life sciences and technologies-.056
Total Pop, field of study: Mathematics, computer and information sciences-.129
Total Pop, field of study: Architecture, engineering, and related technologies-.125
Total Pop, field of study: Agriculture, natural resources and conservation.074
Total Pop, field of study: Health, parks, recreation and fitness.073
Total Pop, field of study: Personal, protective and transportation services-.015
Total Pop, field of study: Other (83)-.182
Total pop, Location of study: No postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree-0.219
Total pop, Location of study: Postsecondary certificate, diploma or degree-.094
Total pop, Location of study: Inside Canada-.021
Total pop, Location of study: Outside Canada-.106
Total population 15 years and over by labour force activity (20% sample data) (85)-.184
Pop 15 and over: In the labour force (86)-0.214
Pop 15 and over: Employed (87)-0.207
Pop 15 and over: Unemployed (88)-.180
Pop 15 and over: Not in the labour force (89)-.011
Pop 15 and over: Participation rate (90)-0.2
Pop 15 and over: Employment rate (91)-.170
Pop 15 and over: Unemployment rate (92).005
Labour 15 and over: A Management occupations (94)-.089
Labour 15 and over: B Business, finance and administration occupations-0.191
Labour 15 and over: C Natural and applied sciences and related occupations-.120
Labour 15 and over: D Health occupations.010
Labour 15 and over: E Occupations in social science, education, government service and religion-.035
Labour 15 and over: F Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport-.020
Labour 15 and over: G Sales and service occupations-0.244
Labour 15 and over: H Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations-.081
Labour 15 and over: I Occupations unique to primary industry.082
Labour 15 and over: J Occupations unique to processing, manufacturing and utilities-0.19
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Agriculture and other resource-based industries.057
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Construction-.047
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Manufacturing-0.224
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Wholesale trade-0.211
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Retail trade-0.298
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Finance and real estate-.129
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Health care and social services.047
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Educational services-.097
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Business services-.117
Labour 15 and over, ind cat.: Other services-.036
Population 15 years and over reporting hours of unpaid work (20% sample data) (96)-0.195
Population 15 years and over reporting hours of unpaid housework (97)-.154
Population 15 years and over reporting hours looking after children without pay (98)-0.25
Population 15 years and over reporting hours of unpaid care or assistance to seniors (99)-.178
Pop 15 and over, worked in: English-.156
Pop 15 and over, worked in: French-.074
Pop 15 and over, worked in: Non-official language-.148
Pop 15 and over, worked in: English and French.038
Pop 15 and over, worked in: English and non-official language-.176
Pop 15 and over, worked in: French and non-official language-.173
Pop 15 and over, worked in: English, French and non-official language.032
Employed, 15 and over: Worked at home.015
Employed, 15 and over: Worked outside Canada-.165
Employed, 15 and over: No fixed workplace address-.118
Employed, 15 and over: Worked at usual place-0.284
Employed, 15 and over: Worked in census subdivision (municipality) of residence-.065
Employed, 15 and over: Worked in a different census subdivision (municipality) within the census division (county) of residence-.093
Employed, 15 and over: Worked in a different census division (county)-.077
Employed, 15 and over: Worked in a different province.014
Employed, 15 and over, transport: Car, truck, van, as driver-.189
Employed, 15 and over, transport: Car, truck, van, as passenger-0.261
Employed, 15 and over, transport: Public transit-.022
Employed, 15 and over, transport: Walked or bicycled.057
Employed, 15 and over, transport: All other modes.033
Total population by visible minority groups (20% sample data)-0.2
Total visible minority population (103)-.127
Total pop: Chinese-.069
Total pop: South Asian (104)-.105
Total pop: Black-.129
Total pop: Filipino-.050
Total pop: Latin American-.158
Total pop: Southeast Asian (105)-.154
Total pop: Arab-.094
Total pop: West Asian (106)-.035
Total pop: Korean-.037
Total pop: Japanese-.007
Total pop: Visible minority, n.i.e. (107)-.147
Total pop: Multiple visible minority (108)-.129
Total pop: Not a visible minority (109)-.006
Median earnings - Persons 15 years and over ($) (111)-.057
Persons 15 years and over with earnings who worked full year, full time (counts) (112)-0.225
Median earnings - Persons 15 years and over who worked full year, full time ($) (113)-.026
Median income - Persons 15 years and over ($) (115)-.062
Median income after tax - Persons 15 years and over ($) (116)-.045
Earnings - As a % of total income-0.213
Government transfers - As a % of total income.091
Other money - As a % of total income0.234
Income status of all persons in private households (counts) (118)-0.264
% in low income before tax - All persons.040
% in low income after tax - All persons.038
% in low income before tax - Persons less than 18 years of age.037
% in low income after tax - Persons less than 18 years of age.040

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